Consolidation in the print and graphics communications industry has not yet experienced significant foreign investment by acquirers into the domestic USA marketplace. One could argue that the fundamental changes affecting our industry do not support a safe investment by foreigners. I take a contrarian view that says meaningful opportuniites exist for entrepreneurial owners who will take advantage of market redistribution and emerge as leaders on the other side of transformation.
Although I do not profess to have a crystal ball, here are 3 reasons why I believe our industry will become attractive to foreign capital, giving hope to those seeking to transition from ownership over the next 3-5 years.
The Students Will Stay: Have you noticed how many students come to colleges and graduate programs from overseas? At Emory, for example, 40% of MBA students are born in countries around the world, and at NYU, the percentage is even higher. Some of these students will want to stay in the USA and one way to secure their future is to seek investment/entrepreneurial opportuniites in small to mid-sized companies. These "lifestyle" buyers would bring new energy, global thinking, and money from home. It's been documented by NAPL research that our industry is facing long term succession planning challenges due to age and demographics. With 25,000 or so privately-owned companies, the print and graphics communications industry is an ideal venue for the convergence of lifestyle/foreign buyers and succession planning/domestic sellers.
M&A Investment Carries a Green Card: Immigration reform is forever going to be debated in political circles, but below the media radar is a trend toward supporting legal immigration through direct investment. The little known EB-5 immigration program provides a green card to foreign individuals and families who invest $500,000 or more into a domestic USA business. The connection between the "The Students Will Stay" and "M&A Investment Carries a Green Card" makes sense when you realize that funding required to qualify for a green card is commensurate with the $500,000 to $1,000,000 capital needed to acquire a viable quick and small commercial printer. This avenue cuts in favor of bringing money and family to the USA.
Direct Investment by Foreigners is an Ideal Safe Harbor for Capital: Capital preservation is an age-old reason for foreigners to secure their personal wealth by direct investment in USA assets such as real estate, stocks, and businesses. Political uncertainty and currency stability are primary reasons for capital flight, but growing concern about taxes around the world is going to add another variable in favor of direct foreign investment. Type "Financial Transaction Tax" into Wikipedia to learn more about why I think we will see more money looking to go elsewhere. Just my opinion, but I believe money from overseas will find its way into domestic investment in the USA despite this country's budget deficit, economic and political challenges.




